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If you want to Be A Winner, Change Your Developer Philosophy Now!

There is a version of the housing market story that gets told over and over, and it goes like this: prices are high, rates are high, nothing is affordable, and the only people buying are the ones with cash. That version is not wrong, exactly. It is just incomplete.

Home prices at the national level have held close to their peaks despite a sharp rise in mortgage rates. The reason is supply. The locked-in effect has kept available inventory at historically low levels in most markets, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. But affordability being stretched does not mean prices are about to fall sharply. What it means, practically, is that the pool of qualified buyers is smaller than it was three years ago.

Your credit score affects your rate more directly than most buyers realize. Moving your score up by 40 points before you apply can be worth more than months of rate watching. If your score has room to improve, talk to your loan officer about specific steps to raise it before you apply formally.

The inspection is where the marketing copy meets reality. Be there with the inspector and ask questions throughout. A good home inspector will walk you through what they are finding as they go, and you will learn more about the property in three hours than in any number of showing visits.

The offer price is one variable among several. Deal structure has won more competitive situations than overbidding has.

For buyers with the financial cushion to handle a repair bill without panic, this market is workable, even if it is not cheap or easy. The homes that are priced correctly for current conditions are still moving. They are moving to buyers who showed up prepared.

Buyers who take the time to prepare before they start looking tend to find that opportunities exist even when conditions look difficult on paper. A quick look at up-to-date property listings will tell you more about your local market than most of what you read in national coverage.